OPINION: Why Ruto & UDA May Actually Want Gachagua to Win Monday's Court Ruling on His Impeachment

As Kenyan courts prepare to deliver a ruling on former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua's impeachment challenge on Monday the assumption in many political circles is that President Ruto and UDA want him to lose. 

A closer look at the political mathematics however suggests that a Gachagua court victory could serve Ruto's interests far more than his defeat would.

The reasoning is straightforward. One of UDA's most effective tactics heading into 2027 has been exploiting divisions within the opposition rather than facing a united front. 

A court win would hand Gachagua significant momentum elevate his standing in Mt Kenya politics and push him into coalition negotiations with far greater leverage than he currently holds.



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