The poll, released on April 30, 2026, places Ruto at 49 percent support among respondents in Kisumu, a region historically aligned with opposition politics and closely associated with Raila Odinga. The findings suggest a potential political realignment in one of Kenya’s most symbolic strongholds.
Trailing Ruto is Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna with 21.8 percent, reflecting a notable but distant second position. Former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka follows at 4.9 percent, while former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang'i garners 4.3 percent.
Other figures in the poll include former Chief Justice David Maraga at 2.6 percent and former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua at 2.1 percent. Busia Senator Okiya Omtatah and Mumias East MP Peter Salasya register below 1 percent, while 13.5 percent of respondents remain undecided.