Currently, there are indications of these changes as candidates have made their intentions known to the public three years ahead of the next polls.
In a notable development, the Azimio group associated with Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka has pledged to protect Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua from a supposed impeachment scheme by Ruto’s supporters.
Both Gachagua and Kalonzo have previously hinted at the possibility of collaborating.
“As the summit of Azimio, we have taken the position that if they bring an impeachment motion against Gachagua we will oppose it. We don't want to be drawn into those unnecessary fights with a sinking administration,” Kalonzo said on Thursday.
Removing Gachagua would likely advantage Raila's faction, as Ruto probably wouldn't choose another running mate from Mount Kenya.
According to Bichachi, every significant political coalition in Kenya is designed to last only five years. Political analysts suggest the country could see at least three major political groups, unlike the previous scenario of two.
President Ruto, opposition leader Raila Odinga, Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, and National Assembly Speaker Moses Wetang'ula are expected to be in one coalition.
Mudavadi's ANC and Wetang'ula's Ford Kenya parties are already allied with Ruto's UDA since the 2022 elections.
Raila has made a political agreement with Ruto, potentially leading to ODM leaving Azimio to join forces with the President's UDA. This shift follows Ruto appointing top ODM members to Cabinet positions, highlighting their newfound cooperation.
Analyst also says a Gachagua-Kalanzo pact would ring-fence Mt Kenya and Ukambani vote blocs, which could frustrate Ruto’s arithmetic.
However, observers say the traditional political formations could be threatened by the current political wave of youthful Kenyans, alias Gen Z.
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